Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs WW Team - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 29, 2026, 18:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 16:07 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
ARCRED probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T14:06:43.041Z | 60.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T14:11:46.646Z | 56.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T14:16:57.241Z | 94.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T14:22:01.365Z | 94.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T14:27:23.801Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T14:32:27.147Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T14:37:32.817Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T14:42:36.837Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T14:47:47.750Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T14:52:52.367Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T14:57:57.174Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:03:02.748Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:09:22.462Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:15:04.056Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:21:34.996Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:26:47.625Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:31:53.988Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:36:57.221Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:42:00.339Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:47:06.116Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:52:14.077Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:57:20.254Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T16:02:32.516Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between ARCRED and WW Team in the CIS LAN Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ARCRED" if ARCRED win Map 2 against WW Team. This market will resolve to "WW Team" if WW Team win Map 2 against ARCRED. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.