Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 21:40 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 19:39 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
GLYPH probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T17:55:09.195Z | 90.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:00:50.931Z | 76.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:08:47.619Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:14:00.267Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:19:39.444Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:25:28.191Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:31:48.646Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:41:07.632Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:47:46.974Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T18:57:31.753Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:05:38.484Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:12:19.478Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:18:27.708Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:25:42.644Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:32:49.077Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:39:20.719Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T19:39:29.368Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Winners match between GLYPH and Zero Tenacity in the Games of the Future Group C, initially scheduled for August 1 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GLYPH" if GLYPH win Game 2 against Zero Tenacity. This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win Game 2 against GLYPH. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.