Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 04:15 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 24:57 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FLUXO W7M probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T22:51:22.591Z | 97.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T22:56:30.118Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T23:01:36.897Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T23:08:05.354Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T23:13:17.092Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T23:18:22.773Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T23:23:27.530Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T23:28:31.656Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T23:33:43.183Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T23:38:55.429Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T23:44:03.434Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T23:49:08.420Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T23:54:18.469Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T23:59:32.920Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:05:17.453Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:10:36.357Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:15:44.650Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:21:18.274Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:26:22.565Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:31:28.216Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:36:51.431Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:41:58.423Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:47:08.541Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:52:33.928Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T00:57:44.281Z | 100.0% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between Fluxo W7M and Bounty Hunters Esports in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win Map 1 against Bounty Hunters Esports. This market will resolve to "Bounty Hunters Esports" if Bounty Hunters Esports win Map 1 against Fluxo W7M. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.