Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 01:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 22:57 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM LIQUID probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T20:51:54.463Z | 43.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:56:58.789Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:02:11.312Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:07:53.729Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:13:46.968Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:18:52.391Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:24:18.037Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:29:23.464Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:35:03.809Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:40:23.984Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:45:29.210Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:52:16.997Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T21:57:24.134Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:02:26.982Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:12:33.244Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:17:59.227Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:28:00.308Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:33:06.152Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:38:18.400Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:43:25.098Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:48:31.014Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:53:46.957Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T22:58:55.141Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Liquid and MOUZ in the 1win Essence Group A, initially scheduled for July 30 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 2 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 2 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.