Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 29, 2026, 03:20 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 01:28 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
IMPERIAL probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28T22:59:48.684Z | 32.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:04:56.249Z | 14.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:10:01.075Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:15:05.593Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:20:11.096Z | 22.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:25:20.458Z | 22.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:30:25.717Z | 22.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:35:33.449Z | 22.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:40:36.353Z | 22.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:45:43.463Z | 22.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:50:51.131Z | 22.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T23:55:56.230Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:01:01.690Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:06:06.111Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:11:11.137Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:16:16.158Z | 99.6% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:21:20.672Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:26:26.124Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:31:30.990Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:36:36.146Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:41:47.353Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:46:51.807Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:51:55.924Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T00:57:00.614Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T01:02:44.725Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T01:07:46.165Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T01:12:51.043Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T01:17:57.673Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T01:23:02.428Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T01:28:12.702Z | 100.0% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Imperial and BESTIA in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 28 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Imperial" if Imperial win Map 2 against BESTIA. This market will resolve to "BESTIA" if BESTIA win Map 2 against Imperial. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.