Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 14:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 12:14 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FAZE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T09:55:34.133Z | 24.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:01:38.956Z | 24.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:10:02.655Z | 25.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:15:43.035Z | 22.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:26:55.878Z | 21.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:32:50.800Z | 27.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:38:37.388Z | 21.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:44:07.772Z | 17.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:49:29.382Z | 13.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:55:39.888Z | 16.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:01:02.969Z | 16.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:10:02.166Z | 0.6% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:16:38.763Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:23:31.809Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:28:45.746Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:35:24.778Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:40:36.048Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:46:04.253Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:51:59.712Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:57:24.888Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:02:30.113Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:14:21.106Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:14:24.406Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between FaZe and Spirit in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 1 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZe win Map 1 against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 1 against FaZe. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.