LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 09:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 04:12 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BNK FEARX YOUTH probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T01:22:03.935Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T01:27:11.527Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T01:32:13.453Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T01:37:27.948Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T01:42:31.424Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T01:47:41.569Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T02:08:32.000Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T02:13:35.506Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T02:18:46.993Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T02:24:02.424Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T02:30:24.750Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T02:37:26.088Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T02:42:56.314Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T02:48:04.914Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T02:53:13.952Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T02:59:09.875Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T03:04:50.969Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T03:10:18.863Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T03:15:52.747Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T03:22:10.850Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T03:27:15.201Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T03:32:19.503Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T03:37:30.106Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T03:42:38.958Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T03:47:51.766Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T03:53:01.290Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T03:58:04.185Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T04:03:08.512Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T04:08:29.261Z | 57.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T04:12:21.274Z | 57.5% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FearX Youth and Hanwha Life Esports Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group, initially scheduled for July 30 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FearX Youth" if BNK FearX Youth win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports Challengers. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports Challengers" if Hanwha Life Esports Challengers win Game 1 against BNK FearX Youth. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.