Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 29, 2026, 18:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 16:07 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
EX-RUSTEC probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T14:36:38.852Z | 36.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T14:41:46.166Z | 38.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T14:46:48.519Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T14:52:00.227Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T14:57:05.349Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:02:10.478Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:07:18.625Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:12:23.727Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:17:32.808Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:22:44.300Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:27:47.887Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:32:56.577Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:38:06.642Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:43:12.490Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:48:21.747Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:53:27.069Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T15:58:37.819Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T16:03:43.340Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between ex-RUSTEC and ex-Young Ninjas in the CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 29 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-RUSTEC" if ex-RUSTEC win Map 1 against ex-Young Ninjas. This market will resolve to "ex-Young Ninjas" if ex-Young Ninjas win Map 1 against ex-RUSTEC. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.