Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 23:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 20:37 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM FALCONS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T19:51:43.436Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:56:52.989Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:02:07.612Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:12:22.988Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:19:27.206Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:28:33.654Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:36:39.783Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:41:47.030Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Falcons and Vici Gaming in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for July 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win Game 2 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.