Counter-Strike: regain vs Voca - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 29, 2026, 07:15 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 03:50 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
REGAIN probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T02:00:21.915Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:05:26.282Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:10:31.086Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:15:36.433Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:20:43.356Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:25:51.757Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:31:07.527Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:36:10.874Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:41:16.185Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:46:22.220Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:51:26.271Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T02:56:31.134Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:01:36.250Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:06:41.838Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:11:43.160Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:16:46.204Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:21:51.098Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:26:56.268Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:32:01.043Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:37:06.448Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:42:11.298Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T03:47:16.185Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between regain and Voca in the StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 28 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "regain" if regain win Map 1 against Voca. This market will resolve to "Voca" if Voca win Map 1 against regain. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.