Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 16:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 12:15 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
RUNE EATERS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T10:55:44.909Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:01:01.379Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:07:36.264Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:12:46.932Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:18:01.133Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:23:31.912Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:28:45.032Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:35:24.150Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:40:36.602Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:46:03.247Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:51:59.448Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:57:24.897Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:02:30.594Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:14:20.309Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:15:42.324Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Winners match between Rune Eaters and PlayTime in the Games of the Future Group B, initially scheduled for August 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rune Eaters" if Rune Eaters win Game 1 against PlayTime. This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win Game 1 against Rune Eaters. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.