LoL: NRG Esports vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 04:55 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 01:31 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
NRG ESPORTS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T23:54:30.595Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T23:59:38.926Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:05:33.879Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:10:57.315Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:16:47.634Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:24:16.242Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:29:42.994Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:37:54.509Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:45:14.834Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:51:08.264Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:56:33.855Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:02:53.826Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:11:13.866Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:16:33.055Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:23:01.275Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:31:08.828Z | 100.0% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between NRG Esports and Dorado Gaming in the North American Challengers League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 31 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG Esports" if NRG Esports win Game 1 against Dorado Gaming. This market will resolve to "Dorado Gaming" if Dorado Gaming win Game 1 against NRG Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.