Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 23:30 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 20:42 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
ETERNAL FIRE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T18:22:07.385Z | 71.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:27:10.832Z | 59.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:32:22.884Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:37:47.100Z | 70.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:42:52.081Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:47:57.120Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:53:02.892Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:58:07.442Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:03:12.185Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:10:48.023Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:16:35.325Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:22:00.946Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:27:29.257Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:32:34.596Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:38:23.428Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:43:37.741Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:49:01.986Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:54:43.860Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T19:59:49.160Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:05:00.003Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:12:20.909Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:19:27.336Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:28:32.815Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:35:13.957Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:40:20.325Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T20:45:25.488Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Valorant match between Eternal Fire and Fnatic in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 30 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win Map 1 against Fnatic. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Map 1 against Eternal Fire. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.