LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 21:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 18:27 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FRITES ESPORTS CLUB probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T16:32:17.772Z | 89.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:38:02.334Z | 89.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:46:47.541Z | 89.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:51:49.551Z | 89.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:56:50.666Z | 90.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:01:56.055Z | 66.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:09:04.626Z | 88.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:14:53.540Z | 95.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:25:02.864Z | 92.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:30:14.560Z | 86.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:35:39.574Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:40:45.072Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:45:54.932Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:51:27.559Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:56:34.192Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:01:43.524Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:07:20.034Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:15:04.384Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:20:56.333Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:26:22.329Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:27:27.038Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Frites Esports Club and Once Upon A Team in the Road Of Legends Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 30 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Frites Esports Club" if Frites Esports Club win Game 1 against Once Upon A Team. This market will resolve to "Once Upon A Team" if Once Upon A Team win Game 1 against Frites Esports Club. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.