LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 29, 2026, 12:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 29, 2026, 10:05 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
KIWOOM DRX probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29T08:44:47.703Z | 40.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:49:57.806Z | 40.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T08:55:02.660Z | 38.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:00:36.342Z | 54.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:05:45.670Z | 75.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:10:54.507Z | 64.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:15:59.903Z | 13.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:21:09.359Z | 8.6% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:26:18.648Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:31:29.478Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:36:33.906Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:41:38.606Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:46:48.769Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:51:56.477Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T09:56:58.658Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-29T10:02:03.928Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for July 29 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 2 against Nongshim Red Force. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 2 against Kiwoom DRX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.