Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 11:25 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 08:49 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
EXECRATION probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T06:55:13.006Z | 47.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:00:30.342Z | 23.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:10:48.080Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:16:22.528Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:24:21.386Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:29:30.448Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:35:17.441Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:41:23.383Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:47:02.309Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:52:55.067Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T07:58:18.868Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:03:31.487Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:09:57.590Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:15:34.060Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:21:24.698Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:27:39.752Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:32:52.279Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:38:09.769Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:43:28.037Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:48:33.315Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T08:49:23.197Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Elimination match between Execration and Amaru Gaming in the Games of the Future Group A, initially scheduled for August 1 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Execration" if Execration win Game 2 against Amaru Gaming. This market will resolve to "Amaru Gaming" if Amaru Gaming win Game 2 against Execration. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.