Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 14:50 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 12:14 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
YELLOW SUBMARINE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T10:12:50.985Z | 23.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:19:53.062Z | 22.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:25:56.230Z | 7.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:32:45.751Z | 7.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:38:36.755Z | 4.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:43:52.450Z | 1.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:49:00.013Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T10:55:39.505Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:00:45.056Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:07:36.264Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:12:46.932Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:18:01.133Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:23:31.912Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:28:45.032Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:35:24.150Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:40:36.602Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:46:03.247Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:51:59.448Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:57:24.897Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:02:30.594Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:14:20.309Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:14:23.749Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Winners match between Yellow Submarine and Vici Gaming in the Games of the Future Group A, initially scheduled for August 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win Game 2 against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win Game 2 against Yellow Submarine. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.