Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends: Nov 7, 2028, 24:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 13:38 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
YES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27T16:21:22.049Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-27T16:41:42.087Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-27T17:02:02.363Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-27T17:22:26.951Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-27T17:47:52.025Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-27T18:08:28.184Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-27T18:28:47.093Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-27T18:54:12.022Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-27T19:14:32.276Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-27T19:34:51.883Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-27T20:00:22.099Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-27T20:20:37.138Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T02:53:54.819Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T03:19:17.131Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T05:23:41.119Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T05:44:02.218Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T06:23:54.493Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T06:44:22.086Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T07:04:41.961Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T07:30:07.223Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:18:55.935Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:39:24.955Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:05:18.032Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:25:52.523Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:46:02.477Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:11:22.522Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:31:47.407Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:52:43.050Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T13:18:07.394Z | 12.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T13:38:45.614Z | 12.4% | - | — |
MARKET DATA UNAVAILABLE
- The current analysis expired or its live market source is temporarily unavailable.
- Expired Fair Price, Edge, Confidence and Verdict are withheld by the server.
- No trade signal is generated until a fresh calculation completes.
Current data cannot be used safely for a trade signal.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.