Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 03:30 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 01:31 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
LARGADOSYPELADOS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T23:12:18.708Z | 38.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T23:17:50.919Z | 22.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T23:23:16.438Z | 74.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T23:31:43.013Z | 58.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T23:38:30.510Z | 46.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T23:44:29.780Z | 23.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T23:50:14.242Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T23:55:29.660Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:01:18.089Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:08:26.175Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:13:46.621Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:18:59.249Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:24:16.242Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:29:42.994Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:37:54.509Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:45:14.836Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:51:08.264Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T00:56:33.855Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:02:53.827Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:11:13.866Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:16:33.056Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:23:01.275Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T01:31:08.828Z | 0.1% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between largadosypelados and BESTIA in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 31 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "largadosypelados" if largadosypelados win Map 2 against BESTIA. This market will resolve to "BESTIA" if BESTIA win Map 2 against largadosypelados. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.