Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 21:20 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 18:27 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
3DMAX probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T16:32:17.772Z | 26.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:38:02.334Z | 21.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:46:47.541Z | 15.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:51:49.551Z | 26.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:56:50.666Z | 41.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:01:56.055Z | 49.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:09:04.626Z | 24.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:14:53.540Z | 33.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:25:02.864Z | 31.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:30:14.560Z | 38.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:35:39.574Z | 32.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:40:45.072Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:45:54.932Z | 51.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:51:27.559Z | 37.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T17:56:34.192Z | 8.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:01:43.524Z | 0.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:07:20.034Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:15:04.384Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:20:56.333Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:26:22.329Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T18:27:30.443Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between 3DMAX and MOUZ in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 31 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win Map 2 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against 3DMAX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.