Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 15:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 13:12 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BETBOOM TEAM probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T11:55:56.457Z | 43.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:02:44.913Z | 59.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:10:10.514Z | 97.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:16:11.368Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:22:23.153Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:27:58.766Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:33:17.612Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:38:33.384Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:43:44.889Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:49:19.189Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:55:31.071Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:00:54.019Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:06:16.723Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:12:05.983Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between BetBoom Team and MOUZ in the 1win Essence Group A, initially scheduled for July 31 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win Game 1 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 1 against BetBoom Team. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.