Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Honvéd - Map 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 28, 2026, 14:20 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 11:56 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
BET-M 33 probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28T10:39:32.836Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:44:33.687Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:49:38.053Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:54:53.839Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:59:57.284Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:05:04.173Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:10:07.430Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:15:12.844Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:20:17.216Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:40:00.912Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:45:02.935Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:50:07.512Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:55:11.210Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:56:46.332Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between BET-M 33 and Honvéd in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 28 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BET-M 33" if BET-M 33 win Map 2 against Honvéd. This market will resolve to "Honvéd" if Honvéd win Map 2 against BET-M 33. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.