Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 16:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 13:35 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
RUNE EATERS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T11:53:32.135Z | 65.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:58:53.680Z | 74.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:04:16.267Z | 86.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:14:20.239Z | 80.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:21:15.071Z | 71.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:28:57.294Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:34:04.238Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:40:19.147Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:45:39.033Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:51:09.674Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:57:05.150Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T13:02:30.122Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T13:11:16.065Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T13:16:38.334Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T13:24:53.460Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T13:30:01.064Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T13:35:25.189Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 Winners match between Rune Eaters and PlayTime in the Games of the Future Group B, initially scheduled for August 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rune Eaters" if Rune Eaters win Game 2 against PlayTime. This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win Game 2 against Rune Eaters. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.