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Politics · POLYMARKET · LIVE
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?
Ends: Jul 28, 2026, 23:59 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 12:44 UTC
VERDICTINSUFFICIENT DATA
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
POLYMARKET YES 99.4%MARX FAIR YES -
MARX FAIRFair Price was not published: reliable data is insufficient.
Jul 25, 11:57 AMJul 26, 06:08 AMJul 27, 12:20 AMJul 27, 06:32 PMJul 28, 12:44 PM UTC
YES probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28T02:07:37.413Z | 97.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T02:32:57.237Z | 97.8% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T02:53:17.329Z | 97.9% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T03:13:47.410Z | 98.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T03:39:12.120Z | 98.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T03:59:32.163Z | 98.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T04:24:52.148Z | 98.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T04:45:17.135Z | 98.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T05:10:47.272Z | 98.7% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T05:31:06.930Z | 98.7% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T05:51:27.114Z | 98.7% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T06:16:52.365Z | 99.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T06:37:12.089Z | 99.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T07:02:34.277Z | 99.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T07:22:52.199Z | 99.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T07:48:27.621Z | 99.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T08:08:54.048Z | 99.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T08:29:22.152Z | 99.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T08:54:42.068Z | 99.2% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T09:15:03.733Z | 99.2% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T09:40:34.333Z | 99.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:00:57.437Z | 99.6% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:21:22.729Z | 99.6% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T10:46:57.612Z | 99.6% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:07:17.678Z | 99.6% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:32:42.375Z | 99.6% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T11:53:05.487Z | 99.6% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:18:27.963Z | 99.6% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:41:15.610Z | 99.4% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T12:44:21.410Z | 99.4% | - | — |
INSUFFICIENT DATA
- No independent estimate was published; the market price is not presented as Marx Fair.
- Data validation status: NOT PUBLISHED.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.