Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals
Ends: Aug 4, 2026, 22:45 UTCMarket data: Jul 28, 2026, 21:41 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TORONTO BLUE JAYS probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28T19:15:19.538Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T19:20:24.722Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T19:25:29.417Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T19:30:34.446Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T19:35:40.131Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T19:40:41.415Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T19:45:42.614Z | 44.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T19:50:49.746Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T19:55:54.935Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T20:01:43.507Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T20:06:50.089Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T20:11:54.716Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T20:16:59.946Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T20:22:05.037Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T20:27:09.782Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T20:32:20.169Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T20:37:26.299Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T20:42:30.092Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T20:47:35.397Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T20:52:41.972Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T20:57:45.504Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T21:02:46.901Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T21:07:50.594Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T21:12:55.410Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T21:18:00.661Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T21:23:05.672Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T21:28:10.949Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T21:33:14.862Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T21:38:25.225Z | 43.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-28T21:41:42.472Z | 43.5% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 28 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.