LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 15:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 12:53 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FUKUOKA SOFTBANK HAWKS GAMING probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T10:13:14.302Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T10:18:22.097Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T10:23:58.132Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T10:29:12.400Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T10:34:28.801Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T10:39:49.285Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T10:44:57.579Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T10:50:06.349Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T10:55:26.820Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:00:55.880Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:07:19.098Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:13:33.873Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:18:43.881Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:24:15.044Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:29:23.172Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:35:03.592Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:40:14.810Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:45:23.096Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:51:54.330Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T11:57:04.987Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:02:08.869Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:08:05.084Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:13:20.801Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:18:29.080Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:23:50.666Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:28:54.837Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:34:08.385Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:39:14.088Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:44:28.917Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T12:50:07.530Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming and DetonatioN FocusMe in the LCP Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 30 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming" if Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming win Game 1 against DetonatioN FocusMe. This market will resolve to "DetonatioN FocusMe" if DetonatioN FocusMe win Game 1 against Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.