Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 18:30 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 15:25 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
FAZE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T12:33:17.612Z | 46.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:38:33.384Z | 26.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:43:44.889Z | 16.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:49:19.189Z | 13.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:55:31.071Z | 13.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:00:54.019Z | 4.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:06:16.723Z | 4.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:12:05.983Z | 29.9% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:17:32.417Z | 69.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:27:21.530Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:32:37.118Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:37:57.534Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:43:21.241Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:48:34.070Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T13:55:08.178Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T14:00:53.959Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T14:07:33.466Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T14:13:32.924Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T14:19:40.823Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T14:27:10.536Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T14:32:32.044Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T14:38:15.884Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T14:43:36.274Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T14:48:56.951Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T14:55:22.085Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T15:00:29.273Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T15:06:49.441Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T15:13:02.919Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T15:21:18.880Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T15:25:08.234Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between FaZe and TheMongolz in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 30 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZe win Map 1 against TheMongolz. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 1 against FaZe. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.