Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Ends: Jul 30, 2026, 18:00 UTCMarket data: Jul 30, 2026, 16:07 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
LGD GAMING probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30T13:52:30.378Z | 71.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T13:57:34.145Z | 83.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T14:02:44.679Z | 85.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T14:08:45.757Z | 88.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T14:13:51.168Z | 97.5% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T14:18:59.643Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T14:24:06.687Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T14:29:16.526Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T14:34:33.477Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T14:39:54.149Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T14:45:05.170Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T14:50:15.954Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T14:55:37.164Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:01:07.762Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:07:10.855Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:13:38.042Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:18:43.996Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:23:48.432Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:29:11.839Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:34:32.549Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:40:20.935Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:45:28.394Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:50:34.093Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T15:56:15.685Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:01:27.663Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:07:12.400Z | 100.0% | - | — |
| 2026-07-30T16:07:47.884Z | 100.0% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and MOUZ in the 1win Essence Group A, initially scheduled for July 30 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 2 against LGD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.