LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Aug 1, 2026, 14:00 UTCMarket data: Aug 1, 2026, 12:14 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
GEN.G probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01T10:55:44.639Z | 58.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:01:01.115Z | 58.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:07:35.818Z | 61.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:12:47.181Z | 48.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:18:01.481Z | 48.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:23:31.658Z | 26.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:28:44.467Z | 21.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:35:21.855Z | 11.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:40:36.470Z | 11.5% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:46:03.406Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:51:59.466Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T11:57:25.204Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:02:30.822Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-08-01T12:14:20.239Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and Dplus KIA in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 1 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against Gen.G. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.