Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
Ends: Jul 31, 2026, 15:35 UTCMarket data: Jul 31, 2026, 12:40 UTC
POLYMARKET VS MARX FAIR
Probability divergence over time
TEAM RESILIENCE probability: Polymarket versus Marx Fair
| Time | Polymarket | Marx Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T10:54:41.901Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T10:59:52.454Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:06:28.261Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:12:24.955Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:18:07.735Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:26:23.382Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:31:31.217Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:37:28.176Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:43:17.141Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:48:34.523Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:53:57.698Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T11:59:08.630Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:04:16.422Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:10:10.514Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:16:11.368Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:22:23.153Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:27:58.766Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:33:17.612Z | 0.1% | - | — |
| 2026-07-31T12:38:33.384Z | 0.1% | - | — |
FAIR PRICE CALCULATION
- Independent research and Fair Price calculation are still processing.
- A signal is published only after the evidence passes quality checks.
There is not enough reliable data to calculate a fair probability.
KEY RISKS
- New information and resolution rules can change the estimate.
RESOLUTION CRITERIA
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Resilience and PlayTime in the Games of the Future Group B, initially scheduled for July 31 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Resilience" if Team Resilience win Game 1 against PlayTime. This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win Game 1 against Team Resilience. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
AntiPredict provides probabilistic analysis for informational purposes. Predictions are uncertain and may be wrong. This is not financial advice.